A Sunday in the doldrums, chapter 2
One week ago to the day, on Sunday 14 November, the five-arrow giant was the first to venture into the intertropical convergence zone. What ensued was twenty-four hours of sailing in light airs, grappling with the unknowns that characterise this passage and the stress it never fails to drum up among the sailors obliged to traverse it. One week on, history is repeating itself because since this morning, the Maxi Edmond de Rothschild has once again been sailing in the doldrums with the immediate stalling effect predicted for the end of the race. However, this second doldrums passage is less classic than the first and a long way out to the west and should have a different physiognomy: “For now, this latest doldrums passage looks easier to negotiate than it was in the outward leg. However, the next 24 hours will be important for us and pretty intense in terms of our observation of the satellite images so we can react quickly if a particular cell were to develop very quickly and cause the situation to deteriorate. There are still some lines of squalls possible on the way to Martinique,” warned Erwan Israël.
In light of this situation and despite the obvious desire to make landfall on flower island as quickly as possible, the atmosphere aboard remains studious on the Maxi Edmond de Rothschild: “The end is nigh, but we need to stay focused on the boat in order to continue getting the best out of her. The latest forecasts are not indicating any major upsets ahead in terms of the weather, just light airs, but we are in the doldrums and by its very definition, we know that nothing can be taken for granted here and the unexpected cannot be ruled out”, admitted Franck Cammas.
Stalling at the front of the pack for the ‘sprint’ finale
“We are the first to enter the zone of light winds. Meantime, our pursuers will be able to hang onto a steadier breeze for longer so logically they’ll be able to catch up with us towards the end. The scenario favours them, but that’s racing for you. After passing São Pedro we were clearly better off than them. In relation to the wind, they had a less favourable angle than us for the long tack towards the no-go zone along the north coast of Brazil and had to launch into their series of gybes further south than Franck and Charles, which meant they had to manoeuvre more…” explained the router from his HQ in Lorient.
The suggested pattern of light airs for the end of the race seems to be playing out then. However, for the Maxi Edmond de Rothschild’s weather cell, it’s still too early to give a precise and reliable ETA: “according to the latest weather model (GFS, CEP or Arpege) there may be a 24-hour discrepancy ranging between the morning of 23 and the night of the 24 November…”
In this way, it will all depend on what breeze the flying maxi-trimarans manage to latch onto upon exiting their second doldrums. If the trade wind plays ball a little, a finish on the morning of 23 is possible in the bay of Fort-de-France. However, if this is not the case, we’ll have to wait a few more hours to celebrate the 2021 winners of the Transat Jacques Vabre in the Ultime category. Will they be the first across the finish line? Right now, it’s hard to know.
Positions on Sunday 21 November at 10:00 UTC
1. Maxi Edmond de Rothschild (F. Cammas / C. Caudrelier) 841.7 miles from the finish
2. Banque Populaire XI (A. Le Cléac’h / K. Escoffier) + 418.9 miles
3. SVR - Lazartigue (F. Gabart / T. Laperche) + 507.1 miles
4. Actual (Y. Le Blevec / A. Marchand) + 1,039.4 miles
5. Sodebo (T. Coville / T.Rouxel) + 1,198.1 miles